Thursday, October 29, 2020

White House News (白宮消息) | Oct 30, 2020

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US election 2020: When is it, how does it work, and when will we know the results?

Oct. 30 - On Tuesday, November 3, the United States will vote to decide its next president after one of the most chaotic campaigns in history amid social and political unrest across the country.

As the US grapples with the economic and health crisis of the coronavirus pandemic and the looming threat of climate change, voters are choosing between two candidates to steer one of the world's major powers through an increasingly uncertain future.

President Donald Trump, voted in four years ago as the 45th US president, is the candidate for the Republican Party, also known as the Grand Old Party (GOP).

Former Vice President Joe Biden, who served as the 47th US vice president alongside President Barack Obama from 2009 to 2017, is the nominee for the Democratic Party.     more details
On 3 November, Americans will head to the polls and send either Joe Biden or Donald Trump to the White House.
US election 2020: What to look out for on election night

Here's what to watch for as an unpredictable election night unfolds, and the results roll in.
Some key details:
  • To become US president, you don't actually need to win the popular vote. Instead, candidates are aiming to win the majority in something called the electoral college (more on that below)
  • Millions more Americans are voting by mail than in previous elections. Counting postal votes can take more time, and some states won't start until polling day, so there will almost certainly be delays for some results.
  • And because of this unprecedented surge of postal votes, a candidate who takes an early lead may end up being overtaken as postal or in-person votes are tallied. So be wary of the numbers.
Some key terms:
  • Bellwether state: Places like Ohio and Missouri where voters have proven reliable at choosing the national winner
  • Exit poll: In-person interviews with voters as they leave their polling locations. Only a small number of voters are interviewed, so the exit poll result can turn out to be different to the official count.
  • Electoral college: Each state gets a number of electors, roughly in proportion to its population. In most cases, whichever candidate wins a state also wins all that state's electors, who meet later to choose the president and vice president. Because there are 538 electoral college votes, each candidate needs 270 to win. There's a full explanation of the system here.
  • Projections v calling: On election night, ballot counts will be used to predict - or project - the likely winner of each state and the nationwide vote. A state will not be "called", however, until enough data has been collected to declare a clear winner. That includes months of polling, exit polls on the day and some of the actual votes counted (more below on that).
  • Swing state or battleground state: These states lack a clear party affiliation, meaning they are up for grabs for both Democratic and Republican candidates.
  • Red state v blue state: These states tend to vote with a particular party - Republicans in red states and Democrats in blue.
  • more others
【精華】美疫情惡化硬傷!川普民調竄升「異象」? 2020美國大選成人命自衛戰?
oct. 29, 2020

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